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North Korea

This tag is associated with 165 posts

Cadence Column: Asia, March 18, 2019


Drama and theatrics! The US might be in a position to enforce the Magnitsky Act against China. Now, like Taiwan before, the US is taking the pot shots. It compares to Tony Stark’s Iron Man tossing rocks at a tank to provoke the tank before obliterating the tank. Talk of talks about trade with China … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, March 11, 2019


China doesn’t get the message, likely because China is too self-absorbed in its own culture. Detaining Canadians will provoke Canadians to support action against China to have the detained Canadians released—even supporting military action. When the US and China finally officiate their conflict, Canada may join the fray, all thanks to Beijing belligerence. The Western … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, March 4, 2019


Buffoons became naysayers this week, arguing that tit-for-tat military drill concessions would be the path to peace and that progress without finality in Hanoi surmounted to failure. Trump knows exactly what he is doing. Progress without “too much too fast”, passing up the invitation to stop in China while visiting Kim Jong-Un in Vietnam, replacing … Continue reading

Western analysts got lost in the Abe-Xi maze, and failed to notice a coming synergy in East Asia


For unknown reasons, many Western political analysts made mistakes in understanding the Washington-Pyongyang relation (e.g. forecasting bloody nose strike, but being shockingly embarrassed by the Trump-Kim Singapore summit), and then the Pyongyang-Beijing relation (portraying a tension, but being surprisingly slapped by Kim’s three visits to Beijing before and after the Singapore summit). Their latest error … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 27, 2018


The Pacific is heating up bigtime. Just after Kim Jong Un meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Trump calls off a cabinet member’s visit to Pyongyang the day after the new North Korean envoy was announced. What was that all about? Consider China. China has been moving in on Taiwan aggressively, both through marketing and … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, June 18, 2018


Trump has stopped military exercises near North Korea, but he has not initiated any plans to withdraw troops. His reason for stopping the exercises is that they are provocative and expensive. He has a point: If the heads of state are talking then we are less in need of fighting practice in a scenario where … Continue reading

What next to China after the Trump-Kim Summit may be a war


The Singapore-based Channel NewsAsia reported this on June 11: “When North Korean leader Kim Jong Un hitched a ride on an Air China plane to his summit with Donald Trump in Singapore, the signal was clear: Beijing remains Pyongyang’s diplomatic wingman” (while the Trump-Kim summit result carries a heavy-weight message to East Asia and the … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, June 4, 2018


North Korea inches further and further toward talks with the US. China fears this. If Kim Jong-Un get in the same room as the man who wrote The Art of the Deal, North Korea could become a stronger ally to the US than even South Korea overnight. That would likely lead to a quick reunification … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 28, 2018


The US “disinvited” two countries this week, not only North Korea, but also China from the biannual naval exercises in Hawaii. Both “disinvitations” were a rescinding of a previous invitation after less than friendly saber rattling from the former invitee. Kim Jong Un’s loud mouth is widely known, so the North Korean “disinvitation” came as … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 21, 2018


Talk only went so far this week. I looks as if North Korea might not be dismantling its nukes, but hiding them, then threatening to close talks when exposed for this, then threatening to cancel the summit for some other list of excuses. The big question on Kim Jong-Un backing out on the talks relates … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 14, 2018


Disassembling nuke sites prior to meeting Trump may seem like a “save of face” for Kim Jong-Un, but it’s actually a statement of Trump’s influence. If Trump wasn’t an influence, then Kim wouldn’t be doing what Trump has been demanding for a long time. No doubt, North Korea and its pro-Communist supporters in the Liberal … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, April 30, 2018


One easy way to understand, at most “anticipate, but at least be unsurprised by developments in Korea and China is the “PDT Symphony Mad Asian Scientist Theorem”. This “Mad Scientist” theorem is not fact and likely untrue, but if applied, events somehow make sense. The theorem is as follows. Let’s say there is a mad … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, April 23, 2018


The US is arming East Asia and disarming North Korea. China is a spectator in the Western game. Reports and gossip about the latest North Korean promise to disarm ensnared many in the media. The South Korean Kumbaya singing President Moon Jae-in was quick to give his “peace in our time” report that North Korea … Continue reading

The coming China-Korea Reintegration


Trump confirmed personally that he would be meeting Kim Jong-un in May or early June. As I have said many times in the past three years, the United States has “no other choice but talk”. Therefore, it was Pyongyang to determine ‘when’, that is, after the nuclear and long-range missile tests have reached certain functional … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, March 5, 2018


China’s changes include finances as well as politics. As the US unrelentingly inches toward absolute denuclearization of North Korea—one way or another—China delays solidarity at the UN. China has no lack of mixed messages in other areas, such as Taiwan. Stepping up military drills near Taiwan while becoming more economically friendly to Taiwanese isn’t exactly … Continue reading

China’s two-term limit removal and a war in 2020-5?


The CCP’s proposal to remove the two-term limits on the state’s president and vice-president, which is a disrespect of Deng Xiaoping’s will, has definitely generated various negative influences onto China as well as the world: [a] paving a route towards lifelong dictatorship, [b] causing high risk to both domestic and foreign investors in China’s economy, … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, February 26, 2018


It’s hitting the fan. China is homing-up and the US is “posseing” up. CFIUS is expanding its scope and China just required Apple to send its iCloud encryption keys to servers on the mainland. Both moves are more about caution than provocation. The US is stepping up patrols to enforce the trade block on North … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, February 12, 2018


There are those who know Asia and those who don’t. There are those who know political gaming and those who don’t. Last week, Symphony said that China wouldn’t compromise in a “Sino-Vatico” deal. This week, a retired bishop in Hong Kong said basically the same thing: That if the pope vetoes Beijing too often, Beijing … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, January 15, 2018


Jeffery Lewis at the Daily Beast has finally found a solution to the problem with North Korea: Kim Jong Un’s port-a-potty. By bombing the dynastic successor’s port-a-potty, the US would demonstrate both precision and presence. This would be the proverbial “arrow” from Robin Hood, conveniently shooting its way into the Sheriff’s chamber. Though the “papers” … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, January 8, 2018


The talks between South and North Korea are not at all what they are cracked up to be. While the world would love to believe that this is some grand exercise in “can’t we all just get along” diplomacy that always-only ever failed under Obama in any and every hemisphere, North-South talks are not what … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, January 2, 2018


China claims no part in the Hong Kong and Taiwan -related ships recently stopped by South Korean officials for illegally supplying oil to North Korea. China’s claim might be believable, but during the holiday week, China blocked a UN attempted to blacklist those very vessels caught in the act. By blocking the block of the … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, December 18, 2017


All signs indicate a gear-up for war. The US is full on-tilt, not only in military prep, but also in blaming China. The US and China face each other with North Korea in the middle. There is nothing China or Russia will do to stop Washington from gobbling North Korea whole, but a reaction is … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, December 11, 2017


More smoke got blown this week. South Korea’s president is stepping-up efforts to talk to China about North Korea. Asian culture dictates that a country as big as China doesn’t give a rat’s synthetic tail about what a small country like South Korea thinks. All South Korea can expect is to be in China’s debt … Continue reading

The “never been done before” Chinese air-power exercise near Korea


Amid the hearsay that State Secretary Rex Tillerson who insisted on resolving the Korean tension diplomatically would be replaced by the bellicose Mike Pompeo, the incumbent CIA Director, Alex Lockie of Business Insider – Military & Defense gives us a headline which sounds scary: “China did something it’s never done before to warn the US … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, December 4, 2017


The US is gearing up for a demonstration of it’s new Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II jets. North Korea is providing the perfect opportunity. When all is done, be ready to count the headlines in which the F-35s appear. There are a variety of factors in the North Korean conflict. As you count them, don’t … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, November 27, 2017


Korea has on display the essential cultural clash that causes and sustains conflict across the world. North Korea’s leaders won’t communicate. They think non-communication entitles them to get whatever they want. South Korea’s president harbors something against Japan. It would be indefensible to claim his resentment is anything other than pure racism; the WWII Japanese … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, November 20, 2017


Trump visited China in friendship and peace. His granddaughter sang in Mandarin. Her video was played at a high profile state banquet. Everyone seemed happy. In South Korea, President Moon, likely to go down in history as a failed diplomat-wannabe, rehashed South Korean hard feelings against the Japanese. His country— threatened by his enemy to … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, November 6, 2017


While America faces its own falling “houses of cards”, Asian empires face their own truth. With three aircraft carriers, and a fourth soon on the way, the US military presence in Asia is the highest it has been in a long while. Trump is currently making the longest presidential visit to Asia since 1992. It’s … Continue reading

Cadence Asia: Asia, October 30, 2017


In the daily governance of Hong Kong, China has proven itself as a competent overseer. Hong Kong’s “Basic Law”, a kind of mini-constitution imposed not by referendum, keeps the SAR autonomous. Hong Kongers have only two reasons for complaint, having not chosen the Basic Law for themselves and the gentrification of Chinese money re-defining native … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, October 23, 2017


Now, North Korea may have biological weapons. Every week, the news is worse and worse. Eventually, a conflict with North Korea will feel more like a relief to the public than an outrage, just from fatigue of bad news overdose. That level of fatigue is—or at least should be—part of military logistics calculation. However, that … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, October 16, 2017


It’s not quite there yet. Korea’s conflict escalates, but there’s still more mount to climb. Trump is increasing weapons sales to South Korea and Japan, based on a September 5 Tweet; North Korea called him a “strangler of peace” and a “war merchant”. Mattis told the Army to “Stand ready”. Hawaii is rehearsing for attacks. … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, October 9, 2017


Taiwan publicized reports that China was pushing for its dream of reunification through many venues and in many nations. The fact that China works so diligently through aggressive diplomacy further indicates that the “military option” being less than preferable with North Korea carries some continuity with China’s policy concerning Taiwan. That’s not to say it … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, October 2, 2017


Things are stepping-up in Korea. The US is gearing up for a “military option”. The question is how China will respond. China’s approach with Taiwan is a contrast of priorities or a strong indication about China’s approach with North Korea. If China won’t take harsh action to stop a nuclear North Korea, then logically China … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, September 25, 2017


China is taking a turn for the better over North Korea’s “Rocket Man”. Stronger sanctions, limits on trade, cutting off oil, halting banking—it was all a wise move on China’s part. At the United Nations, North Korea made no new friends. They made no indications of any change of heart. North Korea shares the same … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, September 18, 2017


China’s situation is growing more and more similar to North Korea’s. They seek to “match” the US in military strength, but aim to do so without US economics. Without the economics it will be hard to match anything. Slowly, but surely, the US is chipping away at money going into China. Stocks were up in … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, September 11, 2017


The North Korean situation makes much more sense when seen from the perspective of a film director performing a social experiment. Film makers, directors, actors, screen writers—they love to do good “real life” research. If one was making a movie simulating culture in a story such as Orwell’s 1984, North Korea would be a perfect … Continue reading

China remains calm while South Koreans worry mass evacuation by Japan and U.S.


The Associated Press reported on Sept 4 that there is “a growing worry that has many in South Korea and Japan asking a startling question … namely a separation or ‘decoupling’ of the decades-old security alliance between the United States and its top Asian allies, South Korea and Japan?” A Korean student is quoted worrying … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, September 4, 2017


Korea’s situation is amplifying. We know this. North Korea is making more threats than ever with it’s “boy king” on the iron clad throne. We know that military options are 1. relevant and 2. undesirable. The Pentagon consistently barks about “military options”, while “economic options” stay on the table—don’t overlook how talk of military bolsters … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 28, 2017


China should be upset over North Korea for deeper reasons than on the surface. Trump’s “fire and fury” comment a few weeks ago was the clear explanation. Donald Trump was not in favor of the W. Bush invasion of Iraq. Trump does not like large footprints of war. If this administration authorizes action in North … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 21, 2017


After President Trump warned that North Korea must never make any more threats, North Korea is making more threats than ever. Trump mentioned Hawaii and Guam in his warning, North Korea mentioned Hawaii and Guam in this week’s threats. Again, another US ship in the 7th Fleet crashed into a merchant ship, the USS John … Continue reading

China appreciates Tillerson’s “Four Nos” on North Korea


“We do not seek a regime change, we do not seek a collapse of the regime, we do not seek an accelerated reunification of the peninsula, we do not seek an excuse to send our military north of the 38th Parallel,” U.S. State Secretary Rex Tillerson said on August 1. He got a feedback from … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 7, 2017


If North Korea heeds China’s urges to back down on its nuclear program, it would be a welcome first. China requested the US back down its military activity in South Korea. Russia does not want North Korea’s economy to become worse. Much has been claimed about the purported, will-be effectiveness of new UN sanctions against … Continue reading

WSJ video shows Chinese students abroad don’t return home with western democracy


It has long been a puzzle why so many mainland Chinese students, after a number of years of living and studying in the Western countries, do not push for democratization after they have returned home. Some scholars even suggested that perhaps there were Chinese spies everywhere watching these students here and there overseas. In the … Continue reading

China supports two-state solution to settle the Palestinian issue


Standing next to the visiting Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in Beijing, Xi Jinping states clearly that China supports the two-state solution which is in line with the United Nations Security Council Resolution 2334. It is the loudest rebuttal to certain analysts’ ill-motivated question on China’s stand on and on for many years. Having said that, … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, July 17, 2017


South Korea proposed to talk to North Korea this week. Much of the timing relates to anniversaries and upcoming holidays. Pyongyang is still angry about twelve waitresses who moved South and wants them back first. Seoul says the waitresses moved to the South of their own will. The US’ answer is a siege, including efforts … Continue reading

Trump acting as a spokesman for China’s non-interference policy


U.S. President Donald Trump seems acting as a spokesman for China’s long-term non-interference foreign policy that even in the case of North Korea, Beijing refrains from exercising its power and influence to alter another sovereign state’s foreign policy forcefully. Who else can help China better to make all other Third World countries believe that Beijing … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, June 26, 2017


The big favor the US is about to ask from China about Korea is simple: Time’s up, stay out of our way. The Kim Dynasty keeps a sharp eye on information and a sharp sword at the throat of those well informed, be they informants or informees. China has not yet made a final decision … Continue reading

China leaves the U.S. no other choice but ‘talk’ for Korea


Had Pyongyang really possessed nuclear warheads, no president of the United States, anyone, whoever, would dare to put the lives of his soldiers in South Korea (28,500) and Japan (54,000) at risk. The THADD missile defense system is not a 100% guarantee. By that time, the serving American president has only one option, namely, break … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, June 19, 2017


The big danger brewing in the Pacific this week was not about who was right and wrong, but about optics and perspective. American college student Otto Warmbier came back from North Korea in a kind of coma. Almost every news story about Otto provides some background of his arrest and sentencing for taking a North … Continue reading

Australian taxes helping to finance Chinese military capability


For several years the Chinese party-state has been pursuing a co-­ordinated program to acquire from abroad advanced military and ­industrial technology, and to do so by fair means or foul. It now emerges that Australian universities inadvertently are helping to give China the technological leadership it craves. The Australian Research Council is funnelling Australian taxpayer … Continue reading

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