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Japan

This tag is associated with 397 posts

Japan cannot stop China from owning Africa


Japan cannot stop China from owning Africa. When it comes to votes of African nations in international agencies, that is. It’s too late. China already owns the votes of most Africa nations. Japan has a new mission in Africa: to save it from China’s “debt trap,” the prospect that some African nations become so indebted … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 26, 2019


The Hong Kong police have lost public trust. They’ve cried, “Victim!” after their injuries were proven to be from self defense when they were the assailants. They illegally shot tear gas canisters as harmful projectiles in violation of international law and from windows high enough to kill someone if a canister landed on someone’s head. … Continue reading

China-Japan relations won’t be altered by Trump’s ridiculous ‘unfair military alliance’ remark


Tokyo (and probably the whole world) was shocked when Bloomberg News reported on June 25 that: “President Donald Trump has recently mused to confidants about withdrawing from a longstanding defense treaty with Japan, according to three people familiar with the matter, in his latest complaint about what he sees as unfair U.S. security pacts… “… … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, June 3, 2019


The “Symphony Asian Mad Scientist Theorem” continues to play out. Trump engaged North Korea in talks that led to a calm without North Korea changing its DNA. Trump eventually reminded North Korea what everyone knew would be necessary to reach an agreement and North Korea stomped off. Now, Trump comes off a marathon of wider-scope … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 20, 2019


Of course China wanted to “re-negotiate”. Chinese culture, whether in government or business, seeks to sign a contract first, then negotiate the terms after. In America it’s called “reneging”. In China is called “that strange, silly, sign a contract game the Americans require that makes no sense”. Trump has known that since he had his … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 13, 2019


Trump knew the Chinese all along, all too well. The “trade war” never risked creating a real war; the “trade war” was a ploy the whole time—part of an elaborate scheme to provoke the Chinese into striking too soon. He says talks are going well with China—he can’t not say that. China is indeed willing … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, December 3, 2018


Taiwan President Tsai Ing-Wen apologizing after a mid-term defeat at the provincial level will not demonstrate strength on her part, but she shows respect and stability in maintaining her appointees and policy toward China. Having not stood her ground on information about proposal that would have set Taiwan’s team name at the Olympics in Japan … Continue reading

Western analysts got lost in the Abe-Xi maze, and failed to notice a coming synergy in East Asia


For unknown reasons, many Western political analysts made mistakes in understanding the Washington-Pyongyang relation (e.g. forecasting bloody nose strike, but being shockingly embarrassed by the Trump-Kim Singapore summit), and then the Pyongyang-Beijing relation (portraying a tension, but being surprisingly slapped by Kim’s three visits to Beijing before and after the Singapore summit). Their latest error … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, April 23, 2018


The US is arming East Asia and disarming North Korea. China is a spectator in the Western game. Reports and gossip about the latest North Korean promise to disarm ensnared many in the media. The South Korean Kumbaya singing President Moon Jae-in was quick to give his “peace in our time” report that North Korea … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, April 9, 2018


China has been a source of great change. Taiwan has received a license from the United States to build its own submarines. Wang, a legislature who sits on the Foreign Affairs and National Defense Committee said that friendliness from the US is the highest it has ever been. Japan just commissioned its first marine force … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, March 5, 2018


China’s changes include finances as well as politics. As the US unrelentingly inches toward absolute denuclearization of North Korea—one way or another—China delays solidarity at the UN. China has no lack of mixed messages in other areas, such as Taiwan. Stepping up military drills near Taiwan while becoming more economically friendly to Taiwanese isn’t exactly … Continue reading

Duterte in between China and Quad


“Australia, the United States, India and Japan are talking about establishing a joint regional infrastructure scheme as an alternative to China’s multibillion-dollar Belt and Road Initiative in an attempt to counter Beijing’s spreading influence …” reported by Reuters on Feb 19, 2018. These four countries are commonly referred to as the “Quad”, the driving force … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, January 29, 2018


It was a week of protests in both Hong Kong and South Korea. Neither side of any controversy rose above the fray. For the powers that be, it was PR gone bad. For the masses, it was spitting in the wind. When the governed don’t want the ambitions of the controlling few, the solution is … Continue reading

A Red Flag for China on Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands after Trump’s move on Jerusalem


On Dec 6, 2017, President Donald Trump announced that the United States formally recognizes Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. A quick look at history tells us that after the 1948 Arab-Israeli War, Israel took control over West Jerusalem (Britain’s Partition Plan failed completely) whereas the eastern part remained inside Jordan according to the 1949 … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, September 25, 2017


China is taking a turn for the better over North Korea’s “Rocket Man”. Stronger sanctions, limits on trade, cutting off oil, halting banking—it was all a wise move on China’s part. At the United Nations, North Korea made no new friends. They made no indications of any change of heart. North Korea shares the same … Continue reading

China, Germany step up as U.S. retires from world leadership


The U.S. traditionally takes point in the search for common approaches to the big global issues of the day at G-20 summits. Not this time. When world leaders meet in Hamburg on Friday, China and Germany will move in to usurp the U.S.’s role. The U.S. traditionally takes point in the search for common approaches … Continue reading

Chinese jets intercept US aircraft over East China Sea, US says


Two Chinese Sukhoi Su-30 jets have conducted an “unprofessional” intercept of a US aircraft, the US military said. One of the Chinese jets came as close as 150ft (45m) to the US WC-135 plane and flew upside down above it, according to US officials cited by CNN. The US says the plane was on a … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, May 15, 2017


Make no mistake; when the Chinese advocate “globalism”, they don’t envision a world with multiple governments nor do they envision a world government run by the West. They don’t talk about their end game, nor does anyone else. When China talks regional alliances, they envision choreographed unison along the path. Regional alliances would be a … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, March 13, 2017


Forget Japanese waters, headlines worry about North Korea and Hawaii. South Korea has their own two cents to add over the assassination of Kim Jong-un’s half brother at Kuala Lumpur International. China says that North Korea and the US are like two trains headed on a collision course. China has a kind of “plan” to … Continue reading

Australia is the leader in the Asia-Pacific region, not China or Japan


Forbes recently wrote that the leading power in East Asia will be Japan, not China. While this is probably true, Australia should not be forgotten as already being the de facto leader in the greater Asia-Pacific region, and could be a greater power than Japan or future economic giant India, who are both contenders as … Continue reading

The leading power in East Asia will be Japan, not China


By 2040, Japan will rise as East Asia’s leading power. This is one of our most controversial forecasts at Geopolitical Futures. Our readers know that GPF is bearish on China. And while some may disagree on that point, they usually see that the reasoning is sound. China will face serious problems in coming years… problems that will … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, December 19, 2016


All eyes went to Taiwan this week. The Taipei Times shows an uptick in article views. China held no less than three military activities that made headlines in Taiwan’s backyard, and is reported to have broken its promise not to militarize it’s freshly-made islands. In one incident, the Japanese even responded. The topic of Taiwan’s … Continue reading

Chinese paper calls Trump ‘as ignorant as a child’ after Taiwan comment


President-elect Trump is talking about Taiwan again — and China is not pleased. In an interview broadcast Sunday on Fox News, Trump said the United States was not bound by the “One China” policy, the decades-old diplomatic understanding that underpins ties between Washington and Beijing. “I don’t know why we have to be bound by … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, November 21, 2016


With TPP’s immanent floundering in the Pacific, China attempts to step into America’s shoes. But, those are big shoes to fill. As big of a deal as Asia thinks itself to be, any trade deal needs to include the Americas or it really isn’t worth writing headlines about—or even the agreement papers. China’s current proposal … Continue reading

China’s interference in Hong Kong reaching alarming levels: U.S. congressional panel


A U.S. congressional panel has warned of an “alarming” rise in China‘s interference in Hong Kong, noting fears over the former British colony’s continued role as a global financial hub. In its annual report to Congress on Wednesday, the bipartisan U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission highlights the “chilling” abduction and detention of five booksellers … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, October 31, 2016


Chinese President Xi has been hailed with a personality cult akin to support for Chairman Mao, at least in some circles. As if the Xi personality cult wasn’t enough, China also saw a bloodless victory in the Philippines. In an effort to seek their own so-called “independence”, Philippinos’ new choice of a president has thrown-off … Continue reading

Japan to provide patrol ships to Vietnam amid maritime row with China


The Japanese government said on Wednesday it is ready to provide Vietnam with new patrol ships, in its latest step to boost the maritime law-enforcement capabilities of countries locked in territorial rows with China. On Tuesday, Japan agreed to provide two large patrol ships and lend up to five used surveillance aircraft to the Philippines, … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, August 8, 2016


China, China, China. That’s what we see in headlines and it’s what we see in the Pacific. Japan objects to 230 Chinese vessels swarming disputed islands. Chinese jets swarm over its man-made islands. And none of the actions of China come accidentally. CNBC reports a closed and undisclosed meeting of top Communist Party officials. Beijing … Continue reading

Cadence Column: Asia, July 18, 2016


The Hague ruling has stirred the waters and the ripples are bouncing. According to the tribunal, China has no basis for its claims concerning the nine-dash line. However, this also affects sovereign waters Taiwan has enjoyed, and it has implications for an islet Japan uses as a basis for a wide reaching aquatic claim. Taiwan, … Continue reading

China must be stopped from blocking supply in the South China Sea


Australia and other countries are currently pushing for freedom of navigation patrols in the South China Sea, in response to China’s aggression and illegal claims in the region. For the immediate future, these countries should have a permanent presence in this area to ensure freedom of navigation for international trade vessels and local fishermen. The … Continue reading

Cadence Column: July 11, 2016


Abe’s landslide re-election in Japan, a US shield deployment in South Korea, and $2B USD pumping into Taiwan’s navy won’t exactly be sweet music to countries on the other side of the line. China isn’t in a position to make demands. Though, Beijing has denounced Hague’s coming trial often and loudly. Beijing doesn’t know what … Continue reading

China plans massive sea lab 10,000 feet underwater in South China Sea


China is speeding up efforts to design and build a manned deep-sea platform to help it hunt for minerals in the South China Sea, one that may also serve a military purpose in the disputed waters. Such an oceanic “space station” would be located as much as 3,000 meters (9,800 feet) below the surface, according … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, June 6, 2016


This week we see a new classroom game called “China Says”. China wants everyone to say that the South Sea is theirs. Manila wants Japan to say that Pacific nations should say otherwise. China says that no one else should say otherwise. The US says that China should be careful about what it says and … Continue reading

China threatens to impose air defence identification zone in South China Sea


China is preparing an air defence identification zone (ADIZ) in the South China Sea, two years after it announced a similar one in the East China Sea, according to sources close to the People’s Liberation Army and a defence report. But one source said the timing of any declaration would ­depend on security conditions in … Continue reading

China is setting the stage for war in the South China Sea


All any nation needs to go to war is a good provocation, and China is no exception. With its sweeping territorial claims, island-building, militarisation, patriotic fervour, and prickly rhetoric, Beijing is setting itself up to be repeatedly provoked in the South China Sea. It might even be counting on it. Consider the nation’s man-made, militarised … Continue reading

China denies US aircraft carrier entry to Hong Kong, no reason given


Beijing denied a US aircraft carrier permission to make a port call in Hong Kong, a US consulate official says, a rejection that comes amid escalating tensions in the South China Sea. The Chinese Foreign Ministry told the US on Thursday night the visit by the USS John C. Stennis would not be allowed, said … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, April 18, 2016


Historically, Socialism has been great until the State runs out of other people’s money. In the case of China, it will continue to be great until China’s banks run out of their own loans. China’s debt-driven “miracle” is a bubble expected to pop somewhere just over the horizon. China doesn’t mean to burst Trump’s bubble, … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, March 21, 2016


Global headlines are dominated with much ado about Trumping. Everyone has something to say, Japan being slowest to judge, judging nonetheless. In a declining world of failed political correctness, controversial reactions to Trump almost indicate who might have been doing something wrong and who just might be doing something right. It is more and more … Continue reading

U.S. says it is open to patrols with Philippines in waters disputed with China


The United States is open to the possibility of joint naval patrols with the Philippines in the South China Sea, a U.S. diplomat said Wednesday, stressing it would continue to exercise “freedom of navigation” in the disputed waters. China claims most of the South China Sea, through which more than $5 trillion of world trade … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, January 25, 2016


Since Taiwan’s election, China and the KMT-Nationalists have been largely silent. While the Chinese aren’t spending as much money at home, and while the Chinese economy looks evermore shaky, Xi Jinping has no problem dealing with Egypt or declaring all but war against Israel. Historically, talking ill of Israel is bad political luck. Perhaps China … Continue reading

Japan’s master plan to destroy the Chinese navy in battle


It seems that Japan is developing plans to craft its own Anti-Access/Area-Denial (A2/AD) strategy—or what one former Japanese official describes as “maritime supremacy and air superiority”—against the Chinese Navy. The plan itself, detailed by Reuters, makes a tremendous amount of good sense: “Tokyo is responding by stringing a line of anti-ship, anti-aircraft missile batteries along … Continue reading

China may be building a tunnel under the South China Sea


The following is based on a translation of an article on a Chinese news site: An article on war.163.com says that China is digging a tunnel and storage cave deep undersea. According to media report, due to the depth and the thick mud layer, Asia’s largest hydraulic dredge is used to dig out 160,000 cubic … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, December 29, 2015


China steps up its game again. While companies won’t be required to give Beijing power to indiscriminately snoop the web, they are on notice to cooperate with coming procedures if they are asked. This time wasn’t the first, but it’s a little more clear, a little more friendly, and a little more toothy than the … Continue reading

Japan signs off biggest ever defence budget as tensions rise with China over Senkaku Islands


Tokyo approves 5.05tn yen on defence spending to counter growing Chinese influence in the region. Japan has approved its biggest ever defence budget, as it attempts to counter an increasingly assertive China and push through an unpopular move to relocate a US military base on Okinawa. The cabinet on Thursday approved plans to spend 5.05tn … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, December 21, 2015


Tensions intensify in the China seas. Beijing knows it. Washington knows it. Everyone knows it. Japan delayed a US cooperation step-up due to popularity issues. The Japanese public is tired of the US war machine in their back yard, however increasingly necessary Chinese patterns make such cooperation essential. Perhaps Japan suffers from US-imposed affluenza. Japan’s … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, December 14, 2015


As elections push forward in Taiwan and Malaysia, China faces it’s own political issue: Military reform. The report from Reuters demonstrates two things. Firstly, we see that China’s military does, in fact, need reform. This is evidenced by the 300k military jobs cut since September. With an obviously larger shakeup coming, it is clear that … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, November 24, 2015


In the recently reported war games, the Pentagon probably did not consider the largest army in the world: America’s hunters. Most states have an army of hunters larger than most countries. And, if we combine that with all the bullets owned by the Weather Channel (pork-barrel spending?) and all the location data provided by the … Continue reading

What could really disrupt China’s economy?


In an earlier post, I explained why I’m still bullish on China’s economy. But as the events of the past few months have shown, the risks of economic disruption are real. Here are several potential risks that could throw China’s economy off track. While the likelihood of all of them occurring is low, they are … Continue reading

China and Japan report fighter jet confrontations in East China Sea ADIZ


The following is based in part on a translation of a report in Chinese Media: China’s PLA Daily says in a report on China’s East Sea Fleet, “A foreign fighter jet entered China’s East China Sea Air Defence Identification Zone (ADIZ). “A fighter jet of a certain Chinese east air division took off urgently, flew … Continue reading

China says it should join TPP, even though it wasn’t invited


China should join at an appropriate time the U.S.-backed regional trade accord the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) as its broad aims are in line with China’s own economic reform agenda, an influential Communist Party newspaper said on Sunday. China is not among the 12 Pacific Rim countries who earlier this month agreed the trade pact, the … Continue reading

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