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Prelude to Conflict

This category contains 54 posts

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 23, 2015


The conflict is already here. As it seems, China always planned to invade Taiwan and upset the teetering Pacific balance. Myanmar and India won’t have any more. Declassified notes (last week) suggest China was lying about their intentions with Hong Kong since 1958 and Thatcher knew this in her confidential talks with Beijing in the … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 16, 2015


A thorough and thoughtful article catches wind, documenting China’s threats against Great Britain over Hong Kong. Based on records declassified in 2013, the Crown wanted independence for Hong Kong long ago, but Beijing threatened invasion. The Hong Kong we know has been a store front so China can access the world and so Taiwan would … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 9, 2015


China was doing great. They had it “goin’ on”. Then, they made some choices over the last few years. Now, the Pacific region is foreseeably destabilizing. But the least of those concerns, and arguably the most overrated, is the situation in Hong Kong. Before we review the facts, read clearly; Hongkongers have nothing to fear. … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 2, 2015


Taiwan and China are reportedly taking the turn to provoke God. Beijing is turning from Israel and Taiwan will no longer “discriminate” against adultery. Recent history knows that countries that change their policy on Israel get “bad luck”, but fully legalising adultery has yet to be tested. Israel and Islam are ever more on the … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 23 | Symphony


Some Muslims wanted attention… They got it. Japan authorised millions in aid to fight terrorism. Myanmar calls on China to help them fight against terrorist attacks, ostensibly being launched from inside China. Beijing may not like being asked to turn their attention away from the great threat it feels from Taiwan. But, the terrorists in … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 16


Propaganda turn of the tide. For years, Chinese have attended international circles, promulgated their talking points, and convinced others to unwittingly do the same. But, recent reports explain that having traffic lights and convincing drivers to stop at them are two different things China’s military has some technology, flaunts technology it does and doesn’t have, … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 9


Three trends spanned the Pacific this week: journalism, entrepreneurs, and 2016 elections. News of ISIS spreads across Asia Pacific, including videos of a man being burned alive. China barks at century-old Taiwanese government leaders about standing up to the young Communist regime. Taiwanese local leaders respond that Beijing should learn to move past the past … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, February 2


Hong Kong is back at it, this time marching on local elections. Japan is outraged over Muslims beheading one of their own, Asia is watching. Taiwan’s President is ever less popular and now with more proof than ever. Little news happened this week, but much analysis and beautiful night pictures of Hong Kong and Taiwan … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 26


US Congress questions HK: Beijing vets HK politicians; is HK not China? “Experts” say Washington appeases Beijing, but the big issue: Don’t pee in the international pool, consider HK’s Hague membership. Washington and Beijing have only found excuses to raise Pacific tensions, including China’s nine-dash line and Kerry’s extradition request of espionage witness, Snowden. Appeasing … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 19


All eyes turn to Tainan, Taiwan. Mayor Lai refuses to attend city council meetings until the investigation of the speaker’s dubious election is resolved. A political opponent holds a sign on the council floor referring to “Emperor Lai”. Beijing’s new commercial flight lines, abruptly announced and unusually close to Taiwan sovereign airspace, come in the … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 12


Power shuffling and truth-spinning throughout Asia—heads roll and chests puff-out as waning establishments grab for anything to stay afloat. China bails the floundering Communist oil world then doubles its amphibious infantry without a way to transport them. North Korea issues friendly threats to the US. Hong Kong Umbrella Movement leaders are brought to open court … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, January 5


When it comes to Chinese-speaking pastors and the Chinese government, the Chinese are very non-communicative. It’s a shame and a sham, literally—a shame because of the “Shame” culture that can’t man-up to face hard talks and a sham because it’s always hiding some greater aspiration of self-indulged grandeur. China’s boasts of its “great cities” show … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 29


Taiwan hit headlines again this week. More popular than New York, London, and Paris for New Years Eve. Home to a just-finished military head quarters after an 18-year construction project. An ever unpopular President facing oil-food scandal bribery allegations. And, now, object of all China’s military fears, as obviously false Chinese media propaganda tells. Taipei … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 22


China made two well-crafted blunders which Beijing likely considers a success. China called for US arms sales to Taiwan to cease, then Xi went to Macau where democracy supporters could protest him more directly at the second inauguration of Macau’s CEO. Macau’s protest was reportedly led by Jason Chao (周庭希). Japan removed the most at-risk … Continue reading

Cadence of Conflict: Asia-America, December 15


Hong Kong’s Umbrella movement has completely shifted out of the public eye. Beijing and Hong Kong authorities will likely view this as a victory, while the West and the East Asian region know that steam does not vanish merely because it escapes the pot. America’s Republican party seems that they haven’t learned from Taiwan’s failing … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, December 1


Taiwan’s landslide election was more historic than the Democrats’ whompping early November. The vote didn’t reject Taiwan’s KMT-Nationalist party as much as it rejected Beijing. One big factor ignored by media: Clearing HK demonstrators in Mong Kong two days before Taiwan elections solidified voters’ decision: The KMT’s de facto agenda of “Taiwan SAR” is unacceptable. … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 17


The week of deliberation, choices, and ring around the rosy. Someone sets an unpopular policy, someone else finds a way around. World leaders came together. Rhetoric repeats, “China can grow; China must learn.” Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement continues to wane as the world continues to react from all that Asian students have taught the world … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 10


After political defeat in the US, Obama looks to China. Taiwan’s Ma gets snubbed by China in the shadow of APEC. Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement inches toward the discovery that they weren’t shaping Beijing policy as much as they have already helped shape the world’s policy toward Beijing – a lesson Beijing still hasn’t caught … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, November 3


Disunity delayed Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement. A policeman turned pro-occupy, then called a retreat, but not after expressing his distaste for a recent swelling arrogance in the Hong Kong police force. And reality sets in that 2017 won’t look how people want it. Taiwan addresses internal problems of espionage and the lingering food oil scandal … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 20


Paula Bronstein, award-winning photojournalist, was arrested in Mong Kok, HK, for standing on a car to take a photo. Standing on a car, by HK law, is a greater crime than unsheathing a samurai sword in a theater. So, the new question is: How can HK’s Beijing-appointed government defend its sense of “justice”? In the … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 13


Hong Kong police violence was as angering as it was unusual. Hong Kong woke up, then Hong Kongers woke up the world. Beijing will neither listen nor crackdown. Instead, they make fools of themselves. No Tiananmen part deux, condolences to Western media. This week, the world learned: Neither the current Beijing government, nor the former … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, October 6


Last’s week’s misunderstanding quickly transformed to rage with images of police, out of harm’s way, calmly reaching to pepper spray non-threatening bystanders, one at a time. Hong Kongers’ support for Occupy Central soared from “geek” to “peak” within a day. China opposes interference. Beijing backs the CEO of “China’s Hong Kong”, with no comment on … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 29


Inside Report—Hong Kong has one problem that is unaddressed in the media: Hong Kong can’t and doesn’t have its own military. Military service is the unwritten rule of any democracy. As much as Hong Kong needs freedom, they aren’t big enough to have their own military. That creates many problems and misunderstandings. Hong Kong has … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 22


When Ma stepped on board Taiwan’s frigate and smiled for the camera, he wasn’t smiling for the Taiwanese, he was smiling for Washington. Beijing has harboured too much friendliness with the KMT Nationalists and not enough with Taiwan’s DPP. Washington’s comments last week about supporting the KMT in 2016 will change that to shape both … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 15


The main topic in the press, though strange: China vs the Environment. Hong Kong’s democracy movement progresses, their opposition (mostly professors and members of government) also get louder. The US even piped in, stating that they were likely to endorse Taiwan’s pro-Beijing controlling KMT party. While the US is most likely trying to say whatever … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 8


The Taiwan military rhetoric of last week was compounded by a food oil scandal affecting many large Taiwan food suppliers. The ultimate effect will hurt the pockets of the de facto pro-Beijing KMT Nationalist party controlling Taiwan. As the spirits of Hong Kong and Taiwan strengthen together, from valuable mistakes, Beijing faces a new weapon: … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, September 1


You know that point… where you’ve been trying to persuade a friend to get smart, think about his actions, and change his ways… and you’ve finally convinced him to open his eyes and he sees his situation… but then he looks at you as if he’s been violated… then he shrinks back into his emotional … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 25


Asia has a bigger problem now: A Beijing spy investigation. This could tip the balance in the US military favor because the Western public doesn’t like Beijing spies. Beijing is unlikely to back down. Even in online gaming, the Chinese have trouble knowing when they are losing. They are also easy to provoke on accident. … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 18


Israel disappeared from Taiwan’s headlines while Iraq takes the new spotlight. It couldn’t last forever and, after more than a month of Taiwan learning about Israel every day, it doesn’t need to continue. China, South Korea, and the US are angry that Japanese ministers visited their own Japanese war memorial. Should this be interpreted as … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 11


“Introspection”- The escalation went underground this week as nations look inside themselves. It all began August 1. A gas line explosion in Taiwan could change politics forever. Earthquake, a factory explosion, protests, and anti-Muslim laws in China. Manila finally jails the 12 Chinese fisherman who entered Filipino seas and ran aground the 400-year-old reef. Ebola … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, August 4


Last weeks Prelude article received a stereotypical “seminar” comment sympathetic to media control. The Prelude considered this comment seriously, even after it was censored. Here is the comment, followed by the Prelude’s response: This article is a typical anti-China piece which misreports, omits and distorts. The Chinese Central Government supports democracy in HK and has … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 28


The snowball has begun. In the past, the escalation might be seen as linear. This week, that changed. Though the curve is slight, it’s clearly curving. Beijing and Hong Kong are mutually paranoid; Beijing is paranoid of the West and Hong Kong is paranoid of Beijing. One Hong Kong newspaper, House News 主場新聞, started in … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 21


The week of “mixed messages”… Western headlines relating to Southeast Asia were about “helping” Hong Kong, early this week. Thursday, the Pentagon announced that China will join the US and Australia in an infantry exercise this October… mixed messages. Atop the stack, things are escalating against Russia. WWI started when Germany sank the passenger ship, … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 14


The word for the week is “rhetoric”. There has been a lot of talk and analysis of the situation with China and Southeast Asia. China continues to bully. The US calls for calm. In Asian thinking, China’s aggression is “polite.” It serves as a kind of warning. Beijing expects the West to run away like … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, July 7


This week’s international smack-talk of China took a more academic tone. China’s evidential first enemy: the global super-giant (little old Taiwan), still not thwarted by the near-2,000 missiles aimed at the island, is appearing in more and more news articles and sections. One news site discusses Taiwan’s economy and demographics. Documented rising sea levels (3 … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 30


A Chinese “big wig” visited Taiwan this week, sent from the TAO (Taiwan Affairs Office). The visit met strong opposition. Police were accused of warrantless searches of the protestors. More professors, scholars, political delegates with experience, and former Sunflower leaders are speaking out about too many things in too many locations to list them all. … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 23


In lieu of Beijing’s diplomatic envoy to Vietnam last week over “oil tensions”, it seems that Beijing may be secretly planning to send many more envoys to many more places over many more “tensions”. According to one wired blogger, “tension” is not merely a RESULT of Beijing’s policy—“tension” IS Beijing’s policy. This tension always seems … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 16


More “Pacific Mussolini;” China finally makes the first move by appealing to the UN. No one can say there isn’t a Pacific problem any more, and most of the world will blame China. Chinese media: China will challenge the US in South China Sea Sunflower Facebook Page: A roundup of recent events …More on the increasing … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 9


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Chinese pressure forces minister to change plans …China now controlling flight connections for Taiwan officials. Beijing rejects tribunal request for plea response Legal authorities are ‘abusing powers’ …More … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, June 2


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… An international case seems to be developing, not only against China, but also casting doubt on the current ruling regime in Taiwan: Amnesty says [Taiwan] nation must still … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 26


Prelude To Conflict China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Taiwan, Vietnam in discussions over protecting investors …Taiwan-Vietnam relations continue to change and develop, either toward friendship or separation. Either direction will increase the likelihood … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 19


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Amid tensions in S. China Sea, US hosts China army chief Schriver urges US to stay out of 2016 Taiwan polls …Sideways way of saying the US will … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 12


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Philippines, US begin war games after Obama pledge The Mystery Shrouding China’s Communist Party Suicides Two articles on which military is stronger… Why Japan’s Smaller Military Could Hold … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, May 5


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… Trade protest has curbed cross-strait ties: US report North Korea testing engines for ICBM, stokes nuclear fears The road to a better democracy – article from DPP’s US … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 28


Taiwanese protest leader visits AC; urges vigilance to protect democracy Wei Yang US-Japan treaty applies to islands: Obama KMT legislator Lin calls Japanese stupid, rigid …Pro-China Taiwan controlling faction, KMT, insults US ally over Nuke Plant issue, Fukushima Protests back anti-nuclear hunger strike This is becoming a big issue in Taiwan, and now and is … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 21


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… TAO rejects renegotiating pact …apparently the Chinese think that negotiating an agreement is no different from the necessary step of Congress ratifying the agreement. An easy oversight if … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 15


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… U.S. defense chief gets earful as China visit exposes tensions ‘White Justice Social Alliance’ supports precinct chief …pro-China fake demonstrations in Taiwan, ostensible “social movement” bearing the name … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, April 7


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… China’s plan for global network of surveillance satellites spurred by fruitless search for missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 Koreas Trade Fire; Island Residents in Shelters Special Issue on … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 31


China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… The Hidden Agenda of President Ma’s ‘Economics First, Politics Later’ Cross-Strait Policy Explanation of why Ma is so dangerous. Foundation to file lawsuits over crackdown The unspoken legal … Continue reading

Prelude to Conflict: Asia, March 23


EDITORIAL—China and the West want China and the West to know that they are in a prelude to war. Here are a few reasons why from recently… State TV says Russia could turn US to ‘radioactive ash’ …Comment about Russia, but Russia is a Chinese “buddy”. Has China denounced this statement? Chinese Village Official’s Detention … Continue reading

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