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Politics & Law

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Germany warns that liberal world order would end if US cedes leadership to China and Russia


Germany’s veteran finance minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, urged the U.S. to limit Russian and Chinese influence or risk bringing about “the end of our liberal world order.” The comments by Schaeuble, a member of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s cabinet since she took office in 2005, are one of the strongest expressions of concern among European policy makers … Continue reading

China leaves the U.S. no other choice but ‘talk’ for Korea


Had Pyongyang really possessed nuclear warheads, no president of the United States, anyone, whoever, would dare to put the lives of his soldiers in South Korea (28,500) and Japan (54,000) at risk. The THADD missile defense system is not a 100% guarantee. By that time, the serving American president has only one option, namely, break … Continue reading

A better UK-China relationship is coming


A ‘Hung Parliament’ or coalition government in the UK is nothing new. Were we still in the times of Pax Britannica or Pax Americana, the world politics should have been around the same. However, nowadays, the world is more competitive. Germany, France, Russia, Japan, and even India, are vying to play certain leadership roles in … Continue reading

America warns China about South China Sea claims


U.S. Defence Secretary Jim Mattis has delivered a warning to China over their ridiculous claims in the South China Sea. In his speech to the Shangri-La Dialogue, sponsored by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Mattis launched into sharp criticism of what he called Beijing’s disregard for international law by its “indisputable militarisation” of artificial … Continue reading

All women are welcome to China’s beaches with a face mask of any kind


The hot summer, after the Dragon Boat Festival on May 30, will ‘formally’ begin in China. One of the places for fun is the beach. It has been increasingly popular in the beaches here since the early 2010s that women wear masks to protect themselves from UV so as to keep their face skin smooth … Continue reading

China is trying to reshape the world In China’s image


China is one of the few countries in the world today with money to spend, and Xi Jinping is ready to write some cheques. China’s president will host almost 30 world leaders in Beijing on Sunday at the first Belt and Road Forum, the centerpiece of a soft-power push backed by hundreds of billions of … Continue reading

Chinese Kung Fu and Confucianism are not ‘Killer Apps’


A Chinese ‘tai chi’ master was defeated by a free-combat fighter in just 10 seconds in a race held in Chengdu last week. In my Dec 2016 article “No Chinese ‘Kung Fu’ in Hong Kong riot”, I was one of the very few people who straightforwardly pointed that ‘kung fu’ is by its nature slow … Continue reading

Drafting peace in the Pacific


We no longer live in a world without alliances. Yes, individual nations retain sovereignty within their borders. However, the days are over when a single nation will boss and police an entire region alone. One nation can no longer take out an “enemy” in another nation as the “lone ranger”. Any nation that tries will … Continue reading

What it means to China after Trump says America respects all nations’ own path


By saying that “… America respects the right of all nations to chart their own path. My job is not to represent the world. My job is to represent the United States of America…” in his first Joint Address to the Congress [Note 1], President Donald Trump not just elaborates his ‘America First’ doctrine but … Continue reading

Australia is the leader in the Asia-Pacific region, not China or Japan


Forbes recently wrote that the leading power in East Asia will be Japan, not China. While this is probably true, Australia should not be forgotten as already being the de facto leader in the greater Asia-Pacific region, and could be a greater power than Japan or future economic giant India, who are both contenders as … Continue reading

Australia has not changed their position on the South China Sea, despite what media says


A recent article in the Australian Financial Review claims that Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has changed her position on the South China Sea, and that Australia is now more in step with China’s stance. This is not necessarily true, and seems to reflect the desires of some elements of Australian business to portray Australia … Continue reading

China, America and insecurities that threaten the world


Donald Trump needs to stop playing on Twitter and act like a leader of the free world, for everyone’s sake Since being elected just three months ago, Donald Trump has made 46 child-like Twitter attacks on American allies and well-respected Americans, including Australia, Germany, the U.S. court system, Meryl Streep and Arnold Schwarzenegger. These attacks seem … Continue reading

The leading power in East Asia will be Japan, not China


By 2040, Japan will rise as East Asia’s leading power. This is one of our most controversial forecasts at Geopolitical Futures. Our readers know that GPF is bearish on China. And while some may disagree on that point, they usually see that the reasoning is sound. China will face serious problems in coming years… problems that will … Continue reading

America will block China’s access to artificial islands in South China Sea


President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for secretary of state said China must be denied access to artificial islands built in the South China Sea, a move that would raise the risk of conflict between the world’s biggest economies. Hours into a confirmation hearing with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, where he was grilled extensively about his views … Continue reading

China upset at name change of de facto Japan embassy to include name “Taiwan”


China expressed dissatisfaction on Wednesday after Japan‘s de facto embassy in self-ruled Taiwan, which Beijing considers a breakaway province, said it would change its name to include the word Taiwan. Japan, like most countries in the world, maintains only informal relations with Taiwan while it has diplomatic ties with Beijing. From Jan. 1, the Interchange … Continue reading

After Trump’s win, China and Mexico move to deepen ties


China and Mexico pledged on Monday to deepen ties at a meeting between their top diplomats following last month’s U.S. presidential election victory of Donald Trump, who has tested Washington’s relationship with both countries. Before arriving in Mexico on Sunday, Chinese State Councillor Yang Jiechi met with members of Trump’s team in New York, including … Continue reading

Chinese paper calls Trump ‘as ignorant as a child’ after Taiwan comment


President-elect Trump is talking about Taiwan again — and China is not pleased. In an interview broadcast Sunday on Fox News, Trump said the United States was not bound by the “One China” policy, the decades-old diplomatic understanding that underpins ties between Washington and Beijing. “I don’t know why we have to be bound by … Continue reading

China says Trump must toe line on Taiwan


U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will face “serious” consequences should he attempt to revise U.S. policy toward Taiwan, a state newspaper China Daily said. The editorial welcomed Trump’s plan to nominate Iowa Governor Terry Branstad as ambassador to Beijing, who’s known Chinese President Xi Jinping for almost three decades and was described by the country’s foreign … Continue reading

China state media warns Trump against isolationism, calls for status quo


Chinese state media has warned the U.S. president-elect against isolationism and interventionism, calling instead for the United States to actively work with China to maintain the international status quo. President-elect Donald Trump threatened to tear up trade deals and pursue a more unilateral foreign policy under his “America First” principle during a tempestuous election campaign. … Continue reading

China slams EU Commissioner’s ‘slitty eyes’ comment


China expressed disdain Wednesday over European Commissioner Guenther Oettinger’s use of the term “slitty eyes” to describe Chinese people in a leaked recording of a speech to business leaders. In the comments, secretly filmed at a Hamburg event earlier this month, Oettinger — the commissioner for digital economy who was last week named to the … Continue reading

The Philippines and China will have a deal rather than a fight – 2016 update


In my 2013 Nov 27 China Daily Mail article, I wrote that: “… Aquino’s personal style of high profile leadership will be ended by the completion of his tenure. Both ordinary Filipinos and the powerful oligarchic groups such as Cojuangco, Ayala and Roxas will sensibly choose the path to talk for preserving and fostering their … Continue reading

Hong Kong MPs defy China during swearing-in ceremony


A swearing-in ceremony to kick off Hong Kong’s legislative session descended into a farce, as newly elected pro-democracy politicians intentionally mangled their oaths in a show of defiance against Beijing. The MPs also displayed flags declaring that Hong Kong is not a part of China, and called out for “democratic self-determination” for the semi-autonomous Chinese … Continue reading

Philippines wants to ‘open alliances’ with Russia and China


Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte said on Monday he would visit Russia and China this year to chart an independent foreign policy and “open alliances” with two powers with historic rivalries with the United States. Duterte said the Philippines was at the “point of no return” in relations with former colonial ruler the United States, so … Continue reading

Putin to institutionalise a China-like rotational power succession system in Russia


After Vladimir Putin hinted at his September 5 Bloomberg interview that he might not run for presidency in 2018 and suggested that the next leader should be “fairly young” but “mature” [Note 1], pundits are now guessing his successor would be either Alexey Dyumin (1972-), the present Deputy Defense Minister, or Anton Vaino (1972-), the … Continue reading

China criticises US, Japan, Australia for ‘fanning’ tensions in South China Sea


Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi criticised the United States, Japan and Australia for a joint statement on the South China Sea that he said was only “fanning the flames” of regional tensions just as countries have agreed to cool them down. Wang said in a statement Wednesday that the move by the three countries came … Continue reading

Philippines rules out talks with China over international tribunal ruling


Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte assured US lawmakers Wednesday that he has no plans to negotiate with China over their territorial dispute in the South China Sea even as former President Fidel Ramos said he will meet with the President over the weekend to discuss his role as presidential troubleshooter for talks with Beijing. Connecticut Senator … Continue reading

International tribunal rejects China’s claims in South China Sea


An international tribunal in The Hague, The Permanent Court of Arbitration, has delivered a sweeping rebuke on Tuesday of China’s behaviour in the South China Sea, from the construction of artificial islands to interference with fishing, and ruled that its expansive claim to sovereignty over the waters had no legal basis. The tribunal also said … Continue reading

Seoul may appeal to Beijing for help amid US pullout of soldiers


All U.S. troops — 54,000 in Japan and 28,500 in South Korea — will be withdrawn by the time the Pentagon has been certain North Korea is in possession of nuclear warheads. It is the message implicitly conveyed by Donald Trump when saying repeatedly since late March that Japan and South Korea should have nuclear … Continue reading

North Korea’s intrusion into South Korea will benefit Japan but hurt US and China


By claiming it is an internal affair inside Korea and threatening to strike Japan and Alaska with nuclear bombs via long range missiles if American forces were to directly participate into combat, Pyongyang will retaliate to the “toughest ever” UN sanctions [Note 1] by conducting extensive but small-scale military intrusions (not invasion) into South Korea … Continue reading

Malaysia joins the stand against China in South China Sea dispute


Malaysia’s Deputy Prime Minister said the country must defend encroachment of its sovereignty in a veiled swipe at China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea, as tensions flared ahead of a regional meeting that Beijing will attend. Without directly referring to China, Ahmad Zahid Hamidi questioned why land was being reclaimed on coral areas … Continue reading

Indonesia says could take China to court over South China Sea


Indonesia could take China before an international court if Beijing’s claim to the majority of the South China Sea and part of Indonesian territory is not resolved through dialogue, Indonesia’s security chief said on Wednesday. Beijing’s claim to almost the entire South China Sea is shown on Chinese maps with a nine-dash line that stretches … Continue reading

Rising India is vital to allied hopes to contain China


With Australia firmly in the geopolitical mix, no one is publicly talking about China and containment, but all strategies are going in that direction. A recent cover of India Today magazine has Prime Minister Narendra Modi dressed up as Superman, fist outstretched, flying around the planet and restoring his country to its rightful position as … Continue reading

China warns Britain not to bring up human rights during Xi Jinping’s visit because he would be offended


China provided instructions to the British government ahead of President Xi Jinping‘s state visit to London Oct. 20-23, advising leaders to refrain from raising the issue of human rights. China’s ambassador to Britain, Liu Xiaoming, pointed out that good relations hang in the balance, and that Xi’s visit is expected to “herald a golden era … Continue reading

Germany shames U.S. with its policies toward refugees, China, and Russia


Maher Zain, a 1981-born singer who was just eight when his Lebanese family was admitted by Sweden, is the latest showcase that Muslim immigrants can make contributions to world peace rather than causing troubles to their receiving countries. With millions of fans in Europe, England, Malaysia, Indonesia, Palestine, Pakistan and China, Zain’s anti-war songs [Note … Continue reading

Putting Hong Kong’s Chief Executive above legislature makes Hong Kong ungovernable


In its report “Beijing says Hong Kong top leader is above legislature, judiciary” today, Reuters quotes Zhang Xiaoming, Beijing’s chief liaison officer in Hong Kong, as saying “The dual responsibility of chief executive to the central government and Hong Kong has given him a special legal position which is above the executive, legislative and judicial … Continue reading

Japan-China relations boosted by Abe’s WWII statement and self-defence bill


By reiterating Japan’s “unshakable” apology for World War II and legalising the necessary enhancements to operate its Self-Defence Forces like a normal national armed force of a state, Shinzo Abe (Prime Minister 2006-7, 2012-present) has done a meritorious job to consummate Japan’s statehood, thus enabling the Japan-China relation to move on to another stage of … Continue reading

Former Chinese president Jiang Zemin placed ‘under control’ by having his movements restricted in power struggle with current president Xi Jinping


According to a source in Beijing close to China’s top leadership, Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping has made his first significant move against the former Party boss, and his chief rival, Jiang Zemin. The source said that Jiang and his two sons have been “placed under control,” meaning that their freedom of movement has … Continue reading

China’s delusions of regional hegemony – other Asian states want to squash Beijing’s leadership ambitions


The corollary of the decline of the west is not the rise of Asia. It is the erosion of Asia, at least as an idea, as rivalries within geographic Asia overtake the notion of regional cohesion that once bound these countries together. This may seem heresy. China has been leading world growth; western pundits often … Continue reading

China warns Taiwan against return to ‘evil ways’ of independence


China‘s top policy maker on Taiwan warned the self-ruled island on Thursday it would soon have to choose between continuing the peaceful development of ties, or returning to the “evil ways” of independence, which would threaten the peace. The harsh comments came as a 73-year-old Taiwan politician announced he would run for president in January, … Continue reading

Why China is not a global superpower


What do the fluctuations in China’s capital market mean for the global economy? As can be seen in the recent stock market slide, capital markets outside of China were impacted, but quickly rebounded. Make no mistake, whatever happens in China certainly ripples across the globe, but until such time as Chinese president Xi Jinping can … Continue reading

China’s flawed grand strategy


China is a country with more than a billion people, but as Ross Terrill observed, when we ask what China wants, we are really attempting to discern the goals of the seven “male engineers” who make up the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party. This clarification makes the answer straightforward: Like … Continue reading

India, Japan and U.S. can shape China’s peaceful rise


Coordination among India, Japan and the U.S. on security cooperation and economic ties are essential because they can fundamentally talk about how they can “shape China’s rise in a peaceful way”, said Nicholas Szechenyi, Deputy Director and Senior Fellow – Japan Chair at the Centre for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS). “India has unique interests … Continue reading

A worried China tries to urge Philippines to ditch its South China Sea case


China urged the Philippines on Tuesday to ditch its attempt to solve South China Sea territorial disputes with an international tribunal and instead negotiate with Beijing directly, following the arbitration panel’s latest request for input from China. The Philippines has asked the tribunal in The Hague to declare China’s claims to virtually all the South … Continue reading

Chinese media says US is China’s only deadly threat because US fears losing world leadership


The following is based on a translation of a report in Chinese media. As the report is in Chinese media, it can be regarded as an official statement from the ruling Communist Party: Global Times had a report on US-China relations from Zheng Yongnian, a Chinese national who is professor and Director of the East … Continue reading

China’s insatiable appetite for power


One of the defining features of communism in the Chinese experience has been the fierce determination of party leaders to maintain a monopoly on power and obliterate any competition. China’s bosses have largely abandoned communism as an economic principle and embraced capitalism, but when it comes to the levers of power, they don’t give an … Continue reading

Xi Jinping’s China is the greatest political experiment on Earth


Can Xi do it? This is the biggest political question in the world today. “Yes, Xi can,” some tell me in Beijing. “No, he can’t,” say others. The wise know that nobody knows. There is a great debate going on in Washington about whether the US should change its China policy in response to Beijing’s … Continue reading

China’s South China Sea claims are not supported by its own historical records


Is China starting down a path similar to that followed by Japan and Germany before 1945, when nationalism backed by new economic clout led to overconfidence and adventures which eventually proved disastrous? The question needs asking in the context of China’s latest moves ultimately aimed at making the South China Sea into a Chinese lake. … Continue reading

China’s aggression is a godsend for the United States


In colonial texts about China, the ruling mandarins were often described as inscrutable—cunning, and full of intricate stratagems born of the world’s oldest bureaucracy. The opacity of its Communist leaders helped perpetuate some of those stereotypes, but they are truly nonsense. The Chinese government makes mistakes, even big ones, like its baffling ocean dispute in … Continue reading

The Chinese ‘century’ is already over


Last Sunday, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry completed a two-day trip to Beijing. The day before, Indian prime minister Narendra Modi wrapped up his three-day visit to Xian, Shanghai, and Beijing. Everyone, it seems, is going to China, implicitly acknowledging that this is indeed its century. In reality, however, the period of Chinese primacy, … Continue reading

India and China- A hope for the future


The India–China relationship has always been troubled, but the visuals of Prime Minister Modi’s visit to China were certainly heartwarming. President Xi returned Mr Modi’s gesture of breaking the protocol to receive him. That aside, 24 deals were signed between the sides. The visit did turn out to be ‘successful’ considering the fact that deals … Continue reading

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