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Could a Russia-China alliance save Russia from collapse?


A “Russian-doll” building in Inner Mongolia. China will not give up its partnership with Russia, an analyst says.

A “Russian-doll” building in Inner Mongolia. China will not give up its partnership with Russia, an analyst says.

As soon as the US began to adopt its policy of a pivot to Asia to encircle China, China switched to Russia’s side by joining Russian veto over Syria issue.

China followed Sun Tze’s teaching in The Art of War, that subduing the enemy by diplomacy is the second best strategy.

I regard it as Obama’s stupid blunder, as a Chinese-Russian alliance can challenge US world leadership.

However, at that time, the US still had room to manoeuvre, as Russia did not want China as its ally eagerly.

It was seeking improvement of relations with Japan in spite of the hot maritime territorial dispute between China and Japan.

Obama came out to facilitate the establishment of the Chinese-Russian alliance again. He drove Russia to China’s side by taking the lead in imposing sanctions on Russia for the Ukraine issue. I described the consequence of Obama’s error in my post “China the Biggest Winner in US-Russian Confrontation” on August 7.

Perhaps US experts believe that it is impossible for Russia to be China’s ally as Putin fears that China will weaken Russia’s Asia pivot. That is the opinion of Josh Cohen in his article “Putin’s fear of China weakens Russia’s Asia pivot.

Cohen is a former U.S. State Department project officer involved in managing economic reform projects in the former Soviet Union. He currently works for a satellite technology company and contributes to a number of foreign policy focused media outlets.

In spite of being such an experienced Russia watcher, Cohen ignores the dire predicament Russia is in now due to US and its allies’ sanctions and efforts to push down oil prices in order to crush Russia.

Who can rescue Russia now? Only China is able and willing to. China is not only willing but anxious to rescue Russia as it needs Russia in confronting the US.

Americans may think that China has the best opportunity to recover the 2 million hectares of land it lost to Russia long ago. Sadly for Americans, that is not Chinese way. A friend in need is a friend indeed. Helping Russia now will establish long-term friendship between Russian and Chinese people. It will bring benefit to both people for centuries.

For the time being, the Russian-Chinese alliance is but a short-term one aiming at joining forces to counter the US. If the US eases its pressure on Russia or China, the alliance will weaken and even disappear.

However, if China helps Russia now when Russia is on the verge of collapse and no one is willing or capable to rescue Russia, the resulting friendship between Russian and Chinese people will last for a long time.

Therefore, Russia’s predicament now is not an opportunity for China to hurt Russia but the opportunity for long-term good neighbourly relationship between the two countries. I believe that Xi has the wisdom and vision to act that way. SCMP also believes so. It says in its report “Beijing may boost project spending in Russia amid rouble crisis” today, it says: “Although a direct handout is unlikely, China might help the Russian economy by boosting funding for projects, mainland analysts say.”

Perhaps being a Hong Kong newspaper, SCMP knows China much better.

Anyway, for the time being, under intensifying Western pressure, Russia will be forced to export its top weapons and weapon technology to China in exchange for financial aid from China to defend its currency. Obama is helping China to win and win greatly.

The following is the full text of SCMP’s report:

Beijing may boost project spending in Russia amid rouble crisis

Although a direct handout is unlikely, China might help the Russian economy by boosting funding for projects, mainland analysts say

China is preparing to flex its financial strength amid the economic crisis in Russia as it closely watches how the slump of the Russian rouble affects cooperation between the two countries, mainland analysts have said.

They said Beijing was unlikely to send aid to Moscow, but it would boost infrastructure and investment projects to stop the collapse of the Russian economy, a result that would hurt the two nations’ joint attempts to build influence in international affairs.

China and Russia have both described their relationship as reaching a “new stage” after the signing of massive cooperation deals in recent months, including an agreement for Beijing to import 38 billion cubic metres of gas annually, starting in 2019. Companies have already started talks about building the necessary pipeline to deliver the gas.

But a continued drop in the Russian economy could leave Moscow unable to complete the pipeline, and Chinese capital – possibly a concessionary loan – could be required, analysts said.

“This will affect delivery of the gas,” said Wang Haiyun, a former attaché at the Chinese embassy in Moscow.

“China will actively consider whether Russia demands more Chinese investment input into the project.”

In remarks seen as signalling Beijing’s support for Moscow, foreign ministry spokesman Qin Gang said Russia had enough reserves and resources to resolve the crisis.

China and Russia have long sought to present a united front on the global stage, often as a counterweight to the United States.

In a security conference in Shanghai in May, President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin said they opposed interference in a nation’s domestic affairs and the use of unilateral sanctions.

The comments were seen as a veiled attack on Washington, which had levelled sanctions against Moscow for annexing Crimea from Ukraine, and had irked Beijing by strengthening ties with Asian nations in sovereignty disputes with China.

Li Lifan, a Russian affairs expert at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, said a collapse of the Russian economy would affect China’s international standing.

“China will not give up its partnership with Russia because that would definitely affect China’s influence in setting its agenda in international governance,” he said. “Both nations need each other, especially in counterbalancing the US.”

Li said Russia expected to lure more Chinese investment and boost exports to China to offset the impact of sanctions. This in turn could boost China’s imports of Russian high technology.

Li Xing, a professor of Russian affairs at Beijing Normal University, said China was deeply concerned about the financial crisis, and would step up investment in Russia’s Far East region.

Source: SCMP – “Beijing may boost project spending in Russia amid rouble crisis”

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About chankaiyee2

Author of the book "Tiananmen's Tremendous Achievements" about how with the help of Tiananmen Protests, talented scholars with moral integrity seized power in the Party and state and brought prosperity to China. The second edition of the book will be published within a few days to mark the 25th anniversary of Tiananmen Protests All the parts in the first edition remain in the second edition with a few changes due to information available later and better understanding. There are also some changes for improvements of style. The new parts are Chapters 12-19 on events in China after the first edition was published: The fierce power struggle for succession between reformists and conservatives; Xi Jinping winning all elders’ support during his mysterious disappearance for 2 weeks in early September, 2012; and Xi Jinping Cyclone. Chan Kai Yee's new book: SPACE ERA STRATEGY: The Way China Beats The US An eye-opening book that tells the truth how the US is losing to China. The US is losing as it adopts the outdated strategy of Air-Sea Battle while China adopts the space era strategy to pursue integrated space and air capabilities: It is losing due to its diplomacy that has given rise to Russian-Chinese alliance. US outdated strategy has enabled China to catch up and surpass the US in key weapons: Hypersonic weapons (HGV) that Pentagon regards as the weapon that will dominate the world in the future. Aerospaceplane in China’s development of space-air bomber that can engage enemy anywhere in the world within an hour and destroy an entire aircraft carrier battle group within minutes. Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, anti-ASAT weapons, stealth aircrafts, drones, AEW&C, etc. The book gives detailed descriptions of China’s weapon development based on information mainly from Chinese sources that the author monitors closely. U.S. Must Not Be Beaten by China! China is not a democracy. Its political system cannot prevent the emergence of a despotic leader or stop such a leader when he begins to bring disasters to people. A few decades ago, Mao Zedong, the worst tyrant in world history did emerge and bring disasters to Chinese people. He wanted to fight a nuclear war to replace capitalism with communism but could not bring nuclear holocaust to world people as China was too weak and poor at that time. If a despot like Mao Zedong emerges when China has surpassed the US in military strength, world people will suffer the misery experienced by Chinese people in Mao era. China surpassing the US in GDP is not something to worry about as China has the heavy burden to satisfy its huge population, but China surpassing the US in military strength will be world people’s greatest concern if China remains an autocracy. US people are of much better quality than Chinese people. What they lack is a wise leader to adopt the correct strategy and diplomacy and the creative ways to use its resources in developing its military capabilities. I hope that with the emergence of a great leader, the US can put an end to its decline and remain number one in the world. China, US, space era strategy, air-sea battle, space-air bomber, arms race, weapon development, chan kai yee

Discussion

6 thoughts on “Could a Russia-China alliance save Russia from collapse?

  1. Reblogged this on Life in Russia.

    Like

    Posted by archecotech | December 20, 2014, 5:57 pm
  2. Reblogged this on 1EarthUnited and commented:
    Unity of nations is the future, US… live & learn

    Like

    Posted by 1EarthUnited | December 21, 2014, 9:01 am

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