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Politics & Law

Japan’s restraint makes war with China less likely


Senkaku Islands

A clash seemed unavoidable when twelve Chinese surveillance and fishing administration ships and seven Japanese patrol ships were in the waters within and around the areas over which China and Japan each claims its sovereignty.

That was a situation much more serious than the nationwide anti-Japan mass protests in China yesterday, in which there was no repetition of previous vandalism and violence.

According to Hong Kong’s Ming Pao and Singtao Daily, China’s Xinhua, China News Service and CNA, and Japan’s Kyodo News, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, NHK, and Yomiuri Shimbun, many Chinese official vessels, fishing boats and sea surveillance aircraft confronted 7 large Japanese patrol vessels and 3 Japanese aircraft in the disputed sea areas.

Each side told the other to leave but neither side obeyed. However, we seem to have no reasons to worry as Japan seems to have no intention to drive Chinese vessels away, but only wants to prevent Chinese people from landing on the disputed islands.

China only wants to claim its sovereignty through patrolling and fishing in the areas, but has no intention to land on the disputed islets.

That is quite natural. The islets are worthless, but the areas around it are worth a lot, as there are rich energy and fish resources there.

So far, China has succeeded in exploiting the fish resources there as Chinese fishermen from Huian, Fujian claimed on the internet that they had returned home with full loads of fish they caught.

If China stops there and Japan continues to act with restraint, we should not worry that the confrontation will lead to war. However, what if China begins to exploit the energy resources there?

I hope China will not risk war to do that until the disputes over sovereignty have been resolved peacefully. However, it is not up to me to decide.

Reuters reports that US Defence Secretary Leon Panetta said to Chinese Defence Minister Liang Guanglie, ‘With respect to these current tensions, we are urging calm and restraint by all sides and encourage them to maintain open channels of communication in order to resolve these disputes diplomatically and peacefully’.

But Liang responded by saying that China hoped for a peaceful settlement of the dispute but “reserves rights for further actions”.

We are all clear that by further actions the general meant military actions.

The danger of war has not been removed!

However, the US does not seem to have an intention to be militarily involved because according to Reuters, “Panetta said in remarks to a meeting of the two defence staff: ‘Our goal is to have the United States and China establish the most important bilateral relationship in the world, and the key to that is to establish a strong military-to-military relationship'”.

By ‘strong military-to-military relationship,’ Panetta undoubtedly did not mean war between the two countries.

Moreover, Reuters says, “Panetta said that in order to further build ties, the United States had invited a Chinese warship to participate in the 2014 Rim of the Pacific exercises, a U.S.-sponsored large-scale naval exercise involving more than 20 countries.”

Obviously, Panetta showed US intention for warming-up of US-China relations.

That is also proved by SCMP’s report on US and PLA warships teaming up in Sino-US joint anti-piracy exercises in the Gulf of Aden on Monday.

It seems that the United States really has no intention to fight a war with China. If so, even if a naval clash does break out between China and Japan, it will possibly be a limited clash without US involvement. We hope that will be the case.

Click here for all stories about Senkaku Islands (Diaoyu Islands)

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About chankaiyee2

Author of the book "Tiananmen's Tremendous Achievements" about how with the help of Tiananmen Protests, talented scholars with moral integrity seized power in the Party and state and brought prosperity to China. The second edition of the book will be published within a few days to mark the 25th anniversary of Tiananmen Protests All the parts in the first edition remain in the second edition with a few changes due to information available later and better understanding. There are also some changes for improvements of style. The new parts are Chapters 12-19 on events in China after the first edition was published: The fierce power struggle for succession between reformists and conservatives; Xi Jinping winning all elders’ support during his mysterious disappearance for 2 weeks in early September, 2012; and Xi Jinping Cyclone. Chan Kai Yee's new book: SPACE ERA STRATEGY: The Way China Beats The US An eye-opening book that tells the truth how the US is losing to China. The US is losing as it adopts the outdated strategy of Air-Sea Battle while China adopts the space era strategy to pursue integrated space and air capabilities: It is losing due to its diplomacy that has given rise to Russian-Chinese alliance. US outdated strategy has enabled China to catch up and surpass the US in key weapons: Hypersonic weapons (HGV) that Pentagon regards as the weapon that will dominate the world in the future. Aerospaceplane in China’s development of space-air bomber that can engage enemy anywhere in the world within an hour and destroy an entire aircraft carrier battle group within minutes. Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, anti-ASAT weapons, stealth aircrafts, drones, AEW&C, etc. The book gives detailed descriptions of China’s weapon development based on information mainly from Chinese sources that the author monitors closely. U.S. Must Not Be Beaten by China! China is not a democracy. Its political system cannot prevent the emergence of a despotic leader or stop such a leader when he begins to bring disasters to people. A few decades ago, Mao Zedong, the worst tyrant in world history did emerge and bring disasters to Chinese people. He wanted to fight a nuclear war to replace capitalism with communism but could not bring nuclear holocaust to world people as China was too weak and poor at that time. If a despot like Mao Zedong emerges when China has surpassed the US in military strength, world people will suffer the misery experienced by Chinese people in Mao era. China surpassing the US in GDP is not something to worry about as China has the heavy burden to satisfy its huge population, but China surpassing the US in military strength will be world people’s greatest concern if China remains an autocracy. US people are of much better quality than Chinese people. What they lack is a wise leader to adopt the correct strategy and diplomacy and the creative ways to use its resources in developing its military capabilities. I hope that with the emergence of a great leader, the US can put an end to its decline and remain number one in the world. China, US, space era strategy, air-sea battle, space-air bomber, arms race, weapon development, chan kai yee

Discussion

7 thoughts on “Japan’s restraint makes war with China less likely

  1. Reblogged this on OyiaBrown.

    Like

    Posted by OyiaBrown | September 19, 2012, 6:30 pm
  2. It is amazing to me that this story has gotten very little discussion in the U.S. media. Also, what little discussion and reporting this story has generated has been so low key that it barely gets any notice by the American public.

    Like

    Posted by --Rick | September 19, 2012, 8:18 pm

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